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- The 10 Best Super Bowl Picks
The time has finally come – Super Bowl Weekend!
I’m sending this to you before I put it out on social media (so now is the time to take these lines before they move).
Here are 10 Super Bowl Picks You Need to Take Before Kickoff:
#10 Jalen Hurts MORE THAN 0.5 Rush TDs
This guy lives in the endzone. Hurts has 16 rushing TDs in his last 13 games – insane. And in close game this year he’s averaging 1 rushing TD per game.
A 1-yard QB sneak is all it takes…
#9 Xavier Worthy MORE THAN 5 receptions
He’s quietly become the Chiefs #1 WR. They’re designing plays just to get him the ball. And the result? He’s hit 5+ catches in 7 straight completed games.
Don’t be surprised if he smashes this line…
#8 Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 0.5 INTs
Early in the season Mahomes had 11 INTs in his first 10 games. But since then? He flipped a switch. Zero INTs in his last 9 games.
And in the playoffs? Just 1 pick in his last 9 starts…
#7 AJ Brown MORE THAN 5 receptions
He’s been the Eagles go-to guy all year. Brown has hit 5+ catches in 73% of his games – but here’s what’s even more important:
The Chiefs play man coverage at a Top 10 rate. And Brown ranks #1 in the NFL against man coverage…
#6 Dallas Goedert LESS THAN 5 receptions
Everyone is betting his over - but they’re wrong. Goedert has 5+ catches just once in his last 6 games. And only 23% of the time this season.
His line is inflated because of recent playoff games…
#5 Kareem Hunt LESS THAN 11.5 rush attempts
Yes, Hunt had 17 carries last game, but let’s look deeper. Pacheco fumbled an exchange early & Hunt took over with a hot hand.
But the hot hand could easily go to Pacheco in the Super Bowl & Hunt won’t see the same volume…
#4 Harrison Butker MORE THAN 1.5 Field Goals
The Chiefs face an elite Eagles redzone defense. In similar matchups – Butker attempts 38% more field goals.
Now if you prefer, you can take his over 7.5 kicking points instead…
#3 Patrick Mahomes LESS THAN 30.5 rush yards
He’s averaging just 1.3 designed runs per game. And now he faces the Eagles. They’ve already played Jayden Daniels 3 times & Lamar Jackson.
Despite this – they only allow 19 rushing yards per game to QBs…
#2 Jalen Hurts MORE THAN 9.5 rush attempts
He ran 10 times in the NFC Championship. 9 were designed runs & his knee looked fine.
And he’s had two full weeks to rest. With everything on the line - Hurts will be running…
#1 Patrick Mahomes MORE THAN 0.5 Passing Yards
If Mahomes throws for just 1 yard – you win.
This free play from Prize Picks is a no-brainer
And it gets even better because Prize Picks will give you $50 free to use when you join with code SAL5 today.
